women Penn State 1

  
Penn State            
W-L: ( 7- 9)  PR =    89.1264
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 208 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (11- 8, 87.1)    10-12   
 212 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 6-10, 84.1)    16- 4   
 215 A St Josephs (PA)        Atlantic 10   (11- 8, 87.8)    13-11   
 218 A Pittsburgh             ACC           ( 8- 8, 88.3)    10-12   
 226 H Drexel                 Colonial      (14- 4, 90.3)    10-14   
 301 H Cornell                Ivy League    ( 9- 6, 90.8)     8-14   
 305 A Princeton              Ivy League    (14- 3, 92.8)     7-16   
 313 H Maryland               Big Ten       (14- 5, 92.9)    11-19   
 316 A Northwestern           Big Ten       (16- 2, 95.8)     7-16   
 323 A Oregon                 Big Ten       ( 6-10, 84.9)    19-10   
 330 A Michigan               Big Ten       (12- 6, 92.4)    13-12   
 403 H Rutgers                Big Ten       ( 8-10, 89.4)    12-10   
 406 H Ohio State             Big Ten       ( 8- 7, 89.2)    12-11   
 413 H Southern California    Big Ten       (10- 7, 90.0)    16- 8   
 416 A Johns Hopkins          Big Ten       (12- 6, 92.7)    11-12   
 423 N Johns Hopkins          Big Ten       (12- 6, 92.7)     8-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Richmond               10-12      -2     2    --    -4.47
   212 H Bucknell               16- 4      12     5           0.00
   215 A St Josephs (PA)        13-11       2     1           1.09
   218 A Pittsburgh             10-12      -2     0    -     -2.38
   226 H Drexel                 10-14      -4    -1    -     -3.31
   301 H Cornell                 8-14      -6    -1    -     -3.75
   305 A Princeton               7-16      -9    -4          -0.85
   313 H Maryland               11-19      -8    -3          -1.73
   316 A Northwestern            7-16      -9    -7           0.00
   323 A Oregon                 19-10       9     4           1.21
   330 A Michigan               13-12       1    -4    ++     4.70
   403 H Rutgers                12-10       2     0           1.82
   406 H Ohio State             12-11       1     0           0.61
   413 H Southern California    16- 8       8     0    ++     5.41
   416 A Johns Hopkins          11-12      -1    -4    +      3.06
   423 N Johns Hopkins           8-13      -5    -4          -1.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Richmond               10-12      -2     2    --    -4.47
   218 A Pittsburgh             10-12      -2     0    -     -2.38
   226 H Drexel                 10-14      -4    -1    -     -3.31
   301 H Cornell                 8-14      -6    -1    -     -3.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Michigan               13-12       1    -4    ++     4.70
   413 H Southern California    16- 8       8     0    ++     5.41
   416 A Johns Hopkins          11-12      -1    -4    +      3.06

Penn State Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Akron	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Albany	Penn State			Penn State
American	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Arizona State	Penn State		tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2)	Penn State
Army	Army		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Army
Binghamton	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Penn State
Boston College	Boston College		Boston College 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Boston University	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Brown	Brown		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)	Brown
Bryant	Penn State			Penn State
Bucknell	Penn State	Penn State
Butler	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
California	Penn State		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)	Penn State
Campbell	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Penn State
Canisius	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Penn State
Central Connecticut	Penn State			Penn State
Central Michigan	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cincinnati	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Clemson	Clemson		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Clemson
Coastal Carolina	Penn State			Penn State
Colgate	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	Penn State
Colorado	Penn State		Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Columbia	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3)	Penn State
Connecticut	Connecticut		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Connecticut
Cornell	Cornell	Cornell
Dartmouth	Dartmouth		insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)	Dartmouth
Davidson	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	Penn State
Delaware	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3)	Penn State
Delaware State	Penn State			Penn State
Denver	Denver		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)	Denver
Detroit Mercy	Penn State			Penn State
Drexel	Drexel	Drexel
Duke	Duke		insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)	Duke
Duquesne	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Penn State
East Carolina	Penn State			Penn State
Eastern Michigan	Penn State		Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Elon	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Penn State
Fairfield	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Penn State
Fairleigh Dickinson	Penn State			Penn State
Florida	Florida		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Florida
Furman	Penn State			Penn State
Gardner Webb	Penn State			Penn State
George Mason	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Penn State
George Washington	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Penn State
Georgetown	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)	Penn State
Harvard	Harvard		tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3)	Harvard
High Point	Penn State			Penn State
Hofstra	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3)	Penn State
Holy Cross	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Howard (DC)	Penn State			Penn State
Iona	Penn State			Penn State
Jacksonville	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Penn State
James Madison	James Madison		insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2)	James Madison
Johns Hopkins	Johns Hopkins	Johns Hopkins
Kennesaw State	Penn State			Penn State
Kent State	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
La Salle	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Penn State
Lafayette	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Le Moyne	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Lehigh	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Liberty	Penn State		insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)	Penn State
Lindenwood	Penn State			Penn State
LIU	Penn State			Penn State
Longwood	Penn State			Penn State
Louisville	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Loyola (MD)	Loyola (MD)		insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)	Loyola (MD)
Manhattan	Penn State			Penn State
Marist	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Marquette	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Penn State
Maryland	Maryland	Maryland
Massachusetts	Massachusetts		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)	Massachusetts
Massachusetts-Lowell	Penn State			Penn State
Mercer	Penn State			Penn State
Mercyhurst	Penn State			Penn State
Merrimack	Penn State			Penn State
Michigan	Penn State	Penn State
Monmouth (NJ)	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Penn State
Mount St Marys	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Navy	Navy		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0)	Navy
New Hampshire	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Penn State
Niagara	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3)	Penn State
North Carolina	North Carolina		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	North Carolina
Northwestern	Northwestern	Northwestern
Notre Dame	Notre Dame		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)	Notre Dame
Ohio State	Penn State	Penn State
Old Dominion	Penn State			Penn State
Oregon	Penn State	Penn State
Penn	Penn		Penn 4- 2 vs 1- 5
Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh
Presbyterian	Penn State			Penn State
Princeton	Princeton	Princeton
Queens	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Penn State
Quinnipiac	Penn State			Penn State
Radford	Penn State			Penn State
Rhode Island	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Penn State
Richmond	Richmond	Richmond
Rider	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Robert Morris	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Penn State
Rutgers	Penn State	Penn State
Sacred Heart	Penn State			Penn State
San Diego State	Penn State		Penn State 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Siena	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Penn State
South Florida	Penn State		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn State
Southern California	Penn State	Penn State
St Bonaventure	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3)	Penn State
St Francis	Penn State			Penn State
St Josephs (PA)	Penn State	Penn State
Stanford	Stanford		Stanford 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Stetson	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Stonehill	Penn State			Penn State
Stony Brook	Stony Brook		tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3)	Stony Brook
Syracuse	Syracuse		Syracuse 3- 2 vs 0- 5
Temple	Penn State		Penn State 2- 2 vs 0- 4
Towson	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)	Penn State
UC Davis	Penn State		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Penn State
UMBC	Penn State			Penn State
UNC-Charlotte	Penn State			Penn State
Vanderbilt	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
VCU	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Penn State
Vermont	Penn State			Penn State
Villanova	Penn State		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Penn State
Virginia	Virginia		Virginia 4- 0 vs 0- 4
Virginia Tech	Penn State		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Penn State
Wagner	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Penn State
William & Mary	Penn State		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Penn State
Winthrop	Penn State			Penn State
Wofford	Penn State			Penn State
Xavier	Penn State		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn State
Yale	Yale		insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1)	Yale
Youngstown State	Penn State			Penn State

PowerWise = 100

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.82

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Richmond        (11- 8, 87.1)    10-12      -12.78      17.78      -0.46         1.05           -13.92
   0 H Bucknell        ( 6-10, 84.1)    16- 4      -15.76      14.80      -0.46         1.05            15.08
   0 A St Josephs (PA  (11- 8, 87.8)    13-11      -12.15      18.41       0.46         1.05            19.84
   0 A Pittsburgh      ( 8- 8, 88.3)    10-12      -11.62      18.94       0.46         1.05           -11.73
   0 H Drexel          (14- 4, 90.3)    10-14       -9.62      20.94      -0.46         1.05           -10.60
   0 H Cornell         ( 9- 6, 90.8)     8-14       -9.06      21.49      -0.46         1.05           -10.01
   0 A Princeton       (14- 3, 92.8)     7-16       -7.08      23.47       0.46         1.05            -6.96
   0 H Maryland        (14- 5, 92.9)    11-19       -7.05      23.51      -0.46         1.05            -7.90
   0 A Northwestern    (16- 2, 95.8)     7-16       -4.11      26.45       0.46         1.05            -3.83
   0 A Oregon          ( 6-10, 84.9)    19-10      -15.03      15.53       0.46         1.05            16.82
   0 A Michigan        (12- 6, 92.4)    13-12       -7.54      23.02       0.46         1.05            24.69
   0 H Rutgers         ( 8-10, 89.4)    12-10      -10.49      20.06      -0.46         1.05            20.61
   0 H Ohio State      ( 8- 7, 89.2)    12-11      -10.70      19.85      -0.46         1.05            20.39
   0 H Southern Calif  (10- 7, 90.0)    16- 8       -9.90      20.66      -0.46         1.05            21.23
   0 A Johns Hopkins   (12- 6, 92.7)    11-12       -7.18      23.38       0.46         1.05            -7.06
   0 N Johns Hopkins   (12- 6, 92.7)     8-13       -7.18      23.38      -0.00         1.05            -7.55
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        59.09

winning pts = 138.6558 losing points = -79.5623

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------