UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men Penn State 1
  
Penn State            
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 89.1264

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 87.1) 10-12 212 H Bucknell Patriot ( 6-10, 84.1) 16- 4 215 A St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 87.8) 13-11 218 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 8- 8, 88.3) 10-12 226 H Drexel Colonial (14- 4, 90.3) 10-14 301 H Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 6, 90.8) 8-14 305 A Princeton Ivy League (14- 3, 92.8) 7-16 313 H Maryland Big Ten (14- 5, 92.9) 11-19 316 A Northwestern Big Ten (16- 2, 95.8) 7-16 323 A Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 84.9) 19-10 330 A Michigan Big Ten (12- 6, 92.4) 13-12 403 H Rutgers Big Ten ( 8-10, 89.4) 12-10 406 H Ohio State Big Ten ( 8- 7, 89.2) 12-11 413 H Southern California Big Ten (10- 7, 90.0) 16- 8 416 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (12- 6, 92.7) 11-12 423 N Johns Hopkins Big Ten (12- 6, 92.7) 8-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Richmond               10-12      -2     2    --    -4.47
   212 H Bucknell               16- 4      12     5           0.00
   215 A St Josephs (PA)        13-11       2     1           1.09
   218 A Pittsburgh             10-12      -2     0    -     -2.38
   226 H Drexel                 10-14      -4    -1    -     -3.31
   301 H Cornell                 8-14      -6    -1    -     -3.75
   305 A Princeton               7-16      -9    -4          -0.85
   313 H Maryland               11-19      -8    -3          -1.73
   316 A Northwestern            7-16      -9    -7           0.00
   323 A Oregon                 19-10       9     4           1.21
   330 A Michigan               13-12       1    -4    ++     4.70
   403 H Rutgers                12-10       2     0           1.82
   406 H Ohio State             12-11       1     0           0.61
   413 H Southern California    16- 8       8     0    ++     5.41
   416 A Johns Hopkins          11-12      -1    -4    +      3.06
   423 N Johns Hopkins           8-13      -5    -4          -1.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Richmond               10-12      -2     2    --    -4.47
   218 A Pittsburgh             10-12      -2     0    -     -2.38
   226 H Drexel                 10-14      -4    -1    -     -3.31
   301 H Cornell                 8-14      -6    -1    -     -3.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Michigan               13-12       1    -4    ++     4.70
   413 H Southern California    16- 8       8     0    ++     5.41
   416 A Johns Hopkins          11-12      -1    -4    +      3.06

Penn State Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Akron Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penn State
Albany Penn State   Penn State
American Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penn State
Arizona State Penn State tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Penn State
Army Army tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Army
Binghamton Penn State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn State
Boston College Boston College Boston College   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Boston University Penn State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Penn State
Brown Brown tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Brown
Bryant Penn State   Penn State
Bucknell Penn State Penn State  
Butler Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penn State
California Penn State insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Penn State
Campbell Penn State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn State
Canisius Penn State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn State
Central Connecticut Penn State   Penn State
Central Michigan Penn State Penn State   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cincinnati Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penn State
Clemson Clemson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Clemson
Coastal Carolina Penn State   Penn State
Colgate Penn State tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Penn State
Colorado Penn State Penn State   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Columbia Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Penn State
Connecticut Connecticut insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Connecticut
Cornell Cornell Cornell  
Dartmouth Dartmouth insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Dartmouth
Davidson Penn State tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Penn State
Delaware Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Penn State
Delaware State Penn State   Penn State
Denver Denver insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Denver
Detroit Mercy Penn State   Penn State
Drexel Drexel Drexel  
Duke Duke insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Duke
Duquesne Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Penn State
East Carolina Penn State   Penn State
Eastern Michigan Penn State Penn State   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Elon Penn State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn State
Fairfield Penn State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn State
Fairleigh Dickinson Penn State   Penn State
Florida Florida insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Florida
Furman Penn State   Penn State
Gardner Webb Penn State   Penn State
George Mason Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Penn State
George Washington Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Penn State
Georgetown Penn State tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Penn State
Harvard Harvard tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Harvard
High Point Penn State   Penn State
Hofstra Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Penn State
Holy Cross Penn State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Penn State
Howard (DC) Penn State   Penn State
Iona Penn State   Penn State
Jacksonville Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Penn State
James Madison James Madison insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) James Madison
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins  
Kennesaw State Penn State   Penn State
Kent State Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penn State
La Salle Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Penn State
Lafayette Penn State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Penn State
Le Moyne Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penn State
Lehigh Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penn State
Liberty Penn State insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Penn State
Lindenwood Penn State   Penn State
LIU Penn State   Penn State
Longwood Penn State   Penn State
Louisville Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penn State
Loyola (MD) Loyola (MD) insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Loyola (MD)
Manhattan Penn State   Penn State
Marist Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penn State
Marquette Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Penn State
Maryland Maryland Maryland  
Massachusetts Massachusetts insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Massachusetts
Massachusetts-Lowell Penn State   Penn State
Mercer Penn State   Penn State
Mercyhurst Penn State   Penn State
Merrimack Penn State   Penn State
Michigan Penn State Penn State  
Monmouth (NJ) Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Penn State
Mount St Marys Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penn State
Navy Navy insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Navy
New Hampshire Penn State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn State
Niagara Penn State tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Penn State
North Carolina North Carolina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Carolina
Northwestern Northwestern Northwestern  
Notre Dame Notre Dame tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Notre Dame
Ohio State Penn State Penn State  
Old Dominion Penn State   Penn State
Oregon Penn State Penn State  
Penn Penn Penn   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Pittsburgh  
Presbyterian Penn State   Penn State
Princeton Princeton Princeton  
Queens Penn State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn State
Quinnipiac Penn State   Penn State
Radford Penn State   Penn State
Rhode Island Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Penn State
Richmond Richmond Richmond  
Rider Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penn State
Robert Morris Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Penn State
Rutgers Penn State Penn State  
Sacred Heart Penn State   Penn State
San Diego State Penn State Penn State   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Siena Penn State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn State
South Florida Penn State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Penn State
Southern California Penn State Penn State  
St Bonaventure Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Penn State
St Francis Penn State   Penn State
St Josephs (PA) Penn State Penn State  
Stanford Stanford Stanford   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Stetson Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penn State
Stonehill Penn State   Penn State
Stony Brook Stony Brook tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Stony Brook
Syracuse Syracuse Syracuse   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Temple Penn State Penn State   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Towson Penn State tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Penn State
UC Davis Penn State insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Penn State
UMBC Penn State   Penn State
UNC-Charlotte Penn State   Penn State
Vanderbilt Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penn State
VCU Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Penn State
Vermont Penn State   Penn State
Villanova Penn State tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Penn State
Virginia Virginia Virginia   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Virginia Tech Penn State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Penn State
Wagner Penn State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn State
William & Mary Penn State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn State
Winthrop Penn State   Penn State
Wofford Penn State   Penn State
Xavier Penn State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penn State
Yale Yale insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Yale
Youngstown State Penn State   Penn State

PowerWise = 100


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.82

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Richmond        (11- 8, 87.1)    10-12      -12.78      17.78      -0.46         1.05           -13.92
   0 H Bucknell        ( 6-10, 84.1)    16- 4      -15.76      14.80      -0.46         1.05            15.08
   0 A St Josephs (PA  (11- 8, 87.8)    13-11      -12.15      18.41       0.46         1.05            19.84
   0 A Pittsburgh      ( 8- 8, 88.3)    10-12      -11.62      18.94       0.46         1.05           -11.73
   0 H Drexel          (14- 4, 90.3)    10-14       -9.62      20.94      -0.46         1.05           -10.60
   0 H Cornell         ( 9- 6, 90.8)     8-14       -9.06      21.49      -0.46         1.05           -10.01
   0 A Princeton       (14- 3, 92.8)     7-16       -7.08      23.47       0.46         1.05            -6.96
   0 H Maryland        (14- 5, 92.9)    11-19       -7.05      23.51      -0.46         1.05            -7.90
   0 A Northwestern    (16- 2, 95.8)     7-16       -4.11      26.45       0.46         1.05            -3.83
   0 A Oregon          ( 6-10, 84.9)    19-10      -15.03      15.53       0.46         1.05            16.82
   0 A Michigan        (12- 6, 92.4)    13-12       -7.54      23.02       0.46         1.05            24.69
   0 H Rutgers         ( 8-10, 89.4)    12-10      -10.49      20.06      -0.46         1.05            20.61
   0 H Ohio State      ( 8- 7, 89.2)    12-11      -10.70      19.85      -0.46         1.05            20.39
   0 H Southern Calif  (10- 7, 90.0)    16- 8       -9.90      20.66      -0.46         1.05            21.23
   0 A Johns Hopkins   (12- 6, 92.7)    11-12       -7.18      23.38       0.46         1.05            -7.06
   0 N Johns Hopkins   (12- 6, 92.7)     8-13       -7.18      23.38      -0.00         1.05            -7.55
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        59.09

winning pts = 138.6558 losing points = -79.5623

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------